MSV Duisburg take one SC Paderborn 07 in the DFB Pokal at the Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena on 2019-02-05 at 19:45. As usual, you can find all the best tips for MSV Duisburg vs SC Paderborn 07 at our site, but with this preview, we will try to help you choose the best bet! Sometimes it's better to try long shots but if it needed we know how to stick to short ones. Read our preview and find the value for this match. Let’s find out 1x2 odds, first.
Bookmakers suggest for MSV Duisburg victory 2.86 odds, the draw is averagely at 3.49. If you think SC Paderborn 07 can grab 3 points from MSV Duisburg you can bet on them at 2.36 odds.
According to odds we should expect exciting match where win could go both ways. Yes, odds are set by stats, but we do not think that they reflect situation correctly. So what should we bet on for MSV Duisburg - SC Paderborn 07 fixture? Simply, in our opinion the odds against MSV Duisburg win should be significantly lower. On paper those two sides are indeed pretty much of equal strength, but we should not underestimate the advantage of the home pitch. MSV Duisburg play really well in front of their fans and actually they take most of points at their own stadium. Also, we really believe in the hosts' attack. In our opinion this attack is very strong and capable of scoring two or three goals against any opposition. On the other hand SC Paderborn 07 can create some problems for the hosts but they didn't look much motivated in the recent matches. So we believe, they can't resist against MSV Duisburg at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Therefore, we are taking home win in this one, as we think that odds against home win should not be bigger than 2.00 but it's 2.86. That's why we think there is huge value in backing home side.
As we already mentioned, we trust in home team's attack and we are betting on them to win at 2.86
Let's now say couple of words about over-under 2.5 goals bets. Bookmakers offer 1.61 for over 2.5 goals in this match, while for under 2.5 goals we can get 2.09.
First of all it is important to mention that in our opinion MSV Duisburg really have good attack. We think this is by far the best part of their team and they’re more than capable of scoring a goal, two or even three in each match. Yes, we’re aware of the fact that they had some ups and downs in form and their attack also didn’t always perform according to expectations, but today we expect something different.
Why? Simply because we don’t believe in the SC Paderborn 07's defense. Also, we are not impressed by their goalkeeper and surely they won’t be able to keep clean sheet. Not just that, but we expect them to concede at least two goals, maybe even three.
That’s why we think there is logic in backing over 2.5 goals. MSV Duisburg don’t have the most solid defense in the world, so it wouldn’t be a surprise even if they concede at least one goal. So, we are going with over 2.5 goals as we think odds are bit higher than expected.